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Non-Bayesian Decision Theory : Beliefs and Desires as Reasons for Action / by Martin Peterson
(Theory and Decision Library A:, Rational Choice in Practical Philosophy and Philosophy of Science. ISSN:23522119 ; 44)

Publisher (Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands : Imprint: Springer)
Year 2008
Edition 1st ed. 2008.
Authors *Peterson, Martin author
SpringerLink (Online service)

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OB00166193 Springer Humanities, Social Sciences and Law eBooks (電子ブック) 9781402086991

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Material Type E-Book
Media type 機械可読データファイル
Size VIII, 170 p : online resource
Notes Bayesian decision theory -- Choosing what to decide -- Indeterminate preferences -- Utility -- Subjective probability -- Expected utility -- Risk aversion
This book aims to present an account of rational choice from a non-Bayesian point of view. Rational agents maximize subjective expected utility, but contrary to what is claimed by Bayesians, the author argues that utility and subjective probability should not be defined in terms of preferences over uncertain prospects. To some extent, the author’s non-Bayesian view gives a modern account of what decision theory could have been like, had decision theorists not entered the Bayesian path discovered by Ramsey, Savage, and Jeffrey. The author argues that traditional Bayesian decision theory is unavailing from an action-guiding perspective. For the deliberating Bayesian agent, the output of decision theory is not a set of preferences over alternative acts - these preferences are on the contrary used as input to the theory. Instead, the output is a (set of) utility function(s) that can be used for describing the agent as an expected utility maximizer, which are of limited normative relevance.On the non-Bayesian view articulated by the author, utility and probability are defined in terms of preferences over certain outcomes. These utility and probability functions are then used for generating preferences over uncertain prospects, which conform to the principle of maximizing expected utility. It is argued that this approach offers more action guidance
HTTP:URL=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8699-1
Subjects LCSH:Science—Philosophy
LCSH:Operations research
LCSH:Computer science—Mathematics
LCSH:Mathematical statistics
LCSH:Game theory
LCSH:Econometrics
FREE:Philosophy of Science
FREE:Operations Research and Decision Theory
FREE:Probability and Statistics in Computer Science
FREE:Game Theory
FREE:Quantitative Economics
Classification LCC:Q174-175.3
LCC:B67
DC23:501
ID 8000065341
ISBN 9781402086991

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